Tag Archives: causation

Fine feathered friends.

Fine feathered friends.

Fine feathered friends.

At one time Europeans thought that all swans were white.  The phrase “black swan” derives from a common 16th century English expression as a statement of impossibility.

Then in 1697, Dutch explorers discovered large numbers of black swans in Western Australia.  Continue reading Fine feathered friends.

The doctor will see you now.

The doctor will see you now.

The doctor will see you now.

According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the top two causes of death are heart disease & cancer (in 2013, 611,000 and 585,000 deaths respectively).

What’s the #3 killer today?  The answer may surprise you… Continue reading The doctor will see you now.

Is your crap detector working?

Is your crap detector working?

Is your crap detector working?

Statistics tell us what’s happening in the world around us—from weather forecasts, to crime rates, to baseball rankings.

Yet, with so much fake news sloshing around, we often fail to realize how easily statistics can lead us astray.  Continue reading Is your crap detector working?